Прогнозы рынков предсказаний: биткоин останется ниже $100,000 в 2023 году Translation: Prediction Markets Forecast: Bitcoin to Stay Below $100,000 in 2023

Many users on prediction platforms are confident that the price of the leading cryptocurrency will end the year below the psychological threshold of $100,000.

As of December 12, the likelihood of this outcome on Kalshi is merely 42%:

A similar figure on Polymarket stands at 39%.

At the time of this writing, digital gold is trading around $92,230, according to CoinGecko. The last time prices were above this «round figure» was on November 13.

The asset’s growth is being hampered by several factors, including macroeconomic uncertainty and slowing replenishment of corporate reserves.

Data from Capriole Investments indicate a decrease in activity among «treasury» companies, suggesting that institutional demand may be waning.

Conversely, users on Polymarket assess the likelihood of Strategy selling Bitcoins by the end of the year as extremely low—around 1%.

Last week, the company of Michael Saylor increased its reserves to 660,624 BTC, acquiring an additional 10,624 BTC for approximately $962.7 million.

An analyst known as Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that the prices are testing resistance near the year’s opening price once again.

In his view, a breakout and confirmation above $94,000 could pave the way to $108,000—an estimated target based on the “Triangle” pattern.

However, the expert suggested that the upside may be capped by a retest of the former support zone around $98,000, where a significant volume of liquidity is concentrated.

It is worth noting that analysts from Coinbase Institutional have predicted Bitcoin’s rise in December. They believe that November’s correction has set the stage for a market recovery by year-end.