Как конфликт США и Венесуэлы влияет на крипторынок и биткоин: мнения аналитиков How the US-Venezuela Conflict is Impacting the Crypto Market and Bitcoin: Analyst Insights

The likelihood of a significant correction in the cryptocurrency market due to the conflict between the United States and Venezuela is very low. This was stated by Michael van de Poppe, the founder of MN Trading.

«This is a planned and coordinated attack on [Venezuelan President] Nicolás Maduro, and it has long been in the works,» the expert added.

According to van de Poppe’s forecast, Bitcoin is expected to surpass the $90,000 mark in the near future. At the time of writing, the leading cryptocurrency is trading around $91,500, having increased by 2% over the past day.

On January 3, the United States conducted strikes against Venezuela. The attack lasted about 30 minutes, resulting in Maduro being captured and taken out of the country.

Initially, Bitcoin reacted with a slight decline to the situation but then resumed its upward trajectory.

«Markets are usually influenced by uncertainty rather than events that have already occurred. In this case, it seems that much of this has already been factored into the price,» noted crypto analyst Shagun Makin.

He also emphasized that the ability of digital gold to remain stable amid «geopolitical noise» is more likely to strengthen demand above $90,000 than to undermine it.

«This situation might even bring some gains to the market, as people may interpret it as a sign of strength,» added analyst Tyler Hill.

Researchers at Lookonchain uncovered suspicious activity on Polymarket. According to their findings, just hours before Maduro’s arrest, three wallets placed bets that the Venezuelan president would leave his post.

Their collective profit from these trades exceeded $630,000. One wallet invested $34,000 and reaped $409,900 in return.

«All three addresses only placed bets on events related to Venezuela and Maduro, and had no history of other trades—an obvious sign of insider trading,» Lookonchain stated.

Simultaneously, a trader on Polymarket using the pseudonym Sweetceecks revealed that he made $80,000 in one night by betting on the ousting of the Venezuelan president.

He noted that he had observed an increase in the “pizza index” and made his bet. This index reflects the number of orders from the nearest Domino’s Pizza locations around the Pentagon and is considered an indirect indicator of increased activity from the U.S. armed forces.

As a reminder, by the end of 2025, retail investors had outpaced whales in the accumulation of Bitcoin.