Аналитик предупреждает о рисках падения биткоина до $76,000 из-за ключевых уровней поддержки Analyst Warns of Bitcoins Risk of Falling to $76,000 Due to Key Support Levels

The price of the leading cryptocurrency is maintaining a crucial technical boundary, and a breakthrough of this level could lead to a significant decline in quotes, as pointed out by the analyst known as Daan Crypto Trades.

This concerns the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is slightly above $84,000. According to the expert, this level has historically served as an important zone of support and resistance during market cycles.

«I believe this is a key area that the bulls need to defend,» suggested Daan Crypto.

In his view, a failure to hold this level could result in a drop in prices to $76,000.

«This is essentially the last major support before a retest of April’s lows, which would disrupt the market structure on higher timeframes,» the analyst explained.

On December 7, the market experienced another «liquidation event,» which triggered position liquidations for Bitcoin in both directions. The asset’s price temporarily fell below $88,000 but quickly rebounded above $91,500.

«This is another example of manipulation amidst low weekend liquidity aimed at liquidating both long and short leveraged positions,» noted the expert known as Bull Theory.

On December 9-10, a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will take place, during which the regulator will announce its decision regarding the key rate set by the Federal Reserve. Many market participants expect a 0.25% reduction in this indicator.

The cryptocurrency market has lost momentum following the October easing of monetary policy. As noted by Marcus Thielen, head of 10x Research, during a conversation with Cointelegraph, the regulator’s head Jerome Powell indicated a «non-linear, data-dependent path of policy easing rather than a clear rate-cutting cycle.»

According to the researcher, after the upcoming meeting, the rhetoric is expected to shift to a more restrained tone. This style will remind investors of the hawkish maneuver from mid-autumn and maintain moderate pressure until the end of the year.

«Considering the already weak volumes and outflows from ETFs, engagement in the upward momentum remains limited while the range of $70,000–100,000 holds, and implied volatility continues to compress. This makes the risks of a decline more pronounced than the potential for growth,» Thielen noted.

Henrik Andersson from Apollo Capital shared a similar view, suggesting that the anticipated rate cut has already been factored into the market, but further direction will be set by the statement on economic prospects. Overall, the investor maintains cautious optimism:

«However, with the change in the head of the Commission expected in May next year, there may be further rate cuts in 2026. This would provide support for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.»

In an interview, Nick Rak, head of LVRG Research, highlighted that employment and inflation data could spur liquidity inflows. If the figures meet expectations for further easing of monetary policy, it will support the market’s recovery.

They believe that digital gold appears to be more robust than Ethereum, as it captures the market’s primary attention. This is also reflected in the liquidity inflow dynamics.

As a reminder, the Bitcoin «vitality» indicator has hinted at the return of a bullish trend.